Probabilistic Prediction of Driving Behavior on Country Roads
European Control Conference 2022, 2022
Author(s): | Sovtic A., Adelberger D., Wang M. |
Year: | 2022 |
Abstract: | Driving behavior prediction plays an increasingly
important role in the development of autonomous driving
functions and Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS).
The more precise a prediction is, and the longer the temporal
horizon it covers, the easier it becomes to correctly assess
a situation and effectively perform a driving or intervention
task. In most cases, this is relevant above all for maintaining
safety. While on highways and in cities, it is primarily the
surrounding traffic that influences the behavior of vehicles, on
country roads it is often necessary for a driver to adapt the
driving behavior to the road topology, making it challenging
for behavior prediction. Therefore, we build a prediction
model that uses the characteristics of the road to estimate
the future range where vehicles will be located on country
roads. The magnitude of the influence of different factors on
the prediction is investigated, and the concept is validated in
terms of accuracy and conservativeness. We show in simulation
that the method can improve both comfort and fuel economy
for an Adaptive Cruise Controller (ACC) compared to other
prediction approaches. |